Analysis · candidate churn

Who contests, who returns, who wins

Assam Lok Sabha elections, 1962–2019

Contestants

145

2019 · 14 seats

Women elected

7.14%

Share of elected members

MPs re-elected

62.5%

5 of 8 who stood again

Turncoats

Switched party since the last poll

First-time winners

64.29%

9 of 14 seats

Lok Sabha

#17

Elected 2019

[01]Seats won by party

2019 · state result · 14 seats

BJP 964.3%

INC 321.4%

AIUDF 17.1%

IND 17.1%

[02]Women elected, election by election

Share of elected members · 2019–1962 · newest first

2019 7.14%

2014 14.29%

2009 14.29%

2004 0.0%

1999 21.43%

1998 14.29%

1996 7.14%

1991 7.14%

1985 —%

1980 0.0%

1977 14.29%

1971 14.29%

1967 7.14%

1962 16.67%

[03]Incumbent MP re-election strike rate

Of sitting MPs who stood again, the share that won

2019 62.5%5/8

2014 38.46%5/13

2009 54.55%6/11

2004 58.33%7/12

1999 78.57%11/14

1998 27.27%3/11

1996 61.54%8/13

1985 33.33%1/3

1980 50.0%1/2

1977 50.0%3/6

1971 72.73%8/11

1967 100.0%8/8

[04]Turncoats — candidates who switched party

Since the previous election they contested

2019 30 won

2014 84 won

2009 40 won

2004 30 won

1999 52 won

1998 31 won

1996 71 won

1991 50 won

1985 60 won

1980 10 won

1977 32 won

1971 20 won

1967 21 won

[05]Winners by education

2019 · elected members' highest qualification

Post Graduate 6

Graduate 5

12th Pass 2

10th Pass 1

[06]Winners by profession

2019 · elected members' main profession

Business 4

Politics 3

Salaried Work or Employed 2

Agriculture 1

Liberal Profession or Professional 1

Other 1

Retired or Pension 1

Social Work 1

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic · working shown

Women's share of elected members went from 16.67% in 1962 to 7.14% in 2019 — 0.4×.
7.14% ÷ 16.67% = 0.4×
The most party-switching came in 2014: 8 turncoats stood, of whom 4 won.
max(turncoats) over 14 elections = 8
Sitting MPs fared best in 1967 (100.0%) and worst in 1998 (27.27%).
max / min strike rate over 12 elections with incumbents
The most new blood arrived in 1985: 71.43% of winners had never won the seat before.
max(first-time-winner share), elections with a prior term = 71.43%

Each line is arithmetic over the figures on this page.

SourceTrivedi Centre for Political Data (TCPD) / Lok Dhaba, candidate-level election data; women, incumbency and turncoat figures are LokDhaba's own derived aggregates, one row per election for this state

NoteIncumbency and turncoat status require a previous election, so the first year on record carries none. Candidate age is not part of this dataset