Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Jammu and Kashmir, 2024. 100 candidates from 21 parties contested 5 seats; 3 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
21
2024 · 3 of them won a seat
Largest party
2seats
Bharatiya Janta Party · 24.6% of votes
Deposits lost
89.0%
89 of 100 candidates
Effective parties
5.5
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
20.0
100 for 5 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Bharatiya Janta Party 24.6%2 seats · +15.4 pts
Jammu & Kashmir Natio… 22.42%2 seats · +17.58 pts
Independent 14.81%1 seat · +5.19 pts
Indian National Congr… 19.52%0 seats · -19.52 pts
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 8.52%0 seats · -8.52 pts
Jammu and Kashmir Apn… 4.07%0 seats · -4.07 pts
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 3.42%0 seats · -3.42 pts
Democratic Progressiv… 0.8%0 seats · -0.8 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Independent 1.7%1/59
Jammu & Kashmir Natio… 0.0%0/5

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 89.0%89 of 100
2019 79.75%63 of 79
2014 81.82%63 of 77
2009 82.72%67 of 81
2004 84.34%70 of 83
1999 81.93%68 of 83
1998 84.88%73 of 86
1996 90.0%99 of 110
1989 85.71%54 of 63
1984 72.92%35 of 48

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 20.0100 candidates
2019 13.279 candidates
2014 12.877 candidates
2009 13.581 candidates
2004 13.883 candidates
1999 13.883 candidates
1998 14.386 candidates
1996 18.3110 candidates
1989 10.563 candidates
1984 8.048 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 591 won
2019 360 won
2014 330 won
2009 281 won
2004 371 won
1999 280 won
1998 450 won
1996 840 won
1989 491 won
1984 350 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Jammu & Kashmir National Conference took 40.0% of the seats on 22.42% of the votes — a seat bonus of +17.58 pts.

    seat share 40.0 - vote share 22.42
  2. Indian National Congress went the other way: 19.52% of votes returned only 0.0% of seats.

    seat share 0.0 - vote share 19.52
  3. 89.0% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 89 of 100 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    89/100 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 59 independents stood and 1 won — a strike rate of 1.69%.

    1/59 independents
  5. The field has grown more fragmented since 1967: the effective number of parties moved from 2.8 to 5.5.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1967 vs 2024
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