Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Jammu and Kashmir, 2024. 873 candidates from 46 parties contested 90 seats; 8 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
46
2024 · 8 of them won a seat
Largest party
42seats
Jammu & Kashmir National Conference · 23.78% of votes
Deposits lost
78.01%
681 of 873 candidates
Effective parties
5.6
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
9.7
873 for 90 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2024 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Jammu & Kashmir Natio… 23.78%42 seats · +22.88 pts
Bharatiya Janta Party 26.03%29 seats · +6.19 pts
Independent 16.89%7 seats · -9.11 pts
Indian National Congr… 12.15%6 seats · -5.49 pts
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 9.01%3 seats · -5.67 pts
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 2.52%1 seat · -1.41 pts
Communist Party of In… 0.6%1 seat · +0.51 pts
Aam Aadmi Party 0.53%1 seat · +0.58 pts
Jammu and Kashmir Apn… 3.42%0 seats · -3.42 pts
Democratic Progressiv… 1.22%0 seats · -1.22 pts
J&k National Panthers… 1.18%0 seats · -1.18 pts
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.98%0 seats · -0.98 pts
Jammu and Kashmir Peo… 0.52%0 seats · -0.52 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2024 · parties fielding 5 or more
Jammu & Kashmir Natio… 75.0%42/56
Bharatiya Janta Party 46.77%29/62
Indian National Congr… 15.39%6/39
Aam Aadmi Party 14.29%1/7
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 5.0%1/20
Jammu & Kashmir Peopl… 3.75%3/80
Independent 2.02%7/346
Jammu and Kashmir Apn… 0.0%0/46
Democratic Progressiv… 0.0%0/23
Bahujan Samaj Party 0.0%0/28

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2024 78.01%681 of 873
2014 75.45%627 of 831
2008 85.75%1,161 of 1,354
2002 72.07%511 of 709
1996 65.27%357 of 547
1987 70.46%372 of 528
1983 69.73%357 of 512
1977 62.59%256 of 409
1972 58.48%200 of 342
1967 35.92%74 of 206

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2024 9.7873 candidates
2014 9.6831 candidates
2008 15.61,354 candidates
2002 8.2709 candidates
1996 6.3547 candidates
1987 7.0528 candidates
1983 6.8512 candidates
1977 5.4409 candidates
1972 4.6342 candidates
1967 2.8206 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2024 3467 won
2014 2743 won
2008 5174 won
2002 24413 won
1996 1342 won
1987 3448 won
1983 2543 won
1977 1744 won
1972 1979 won
1967 383 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Jammu & Kashmir National Conference took 46.67% of the seats on 23.78% of the votes — a seat bonus of +22.88 pts.

    seat share 46.67 - vote share 23.78
  2. Independent went the other way: 16.89% of votes returned only 7.78% of seats.

    seat share 7.78 - vote share 16.89
  3. 78.01% of candidates lost their deposit in 2024 — 681 of 873 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    681/873 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 346 independents stood and 7 won — a strike rate of 2.02%.

    7/346 independents
  5. The field has grown more fragmented since 1962: the effective number of parties moved from 2.1 to 5.6.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1962 vs 2024
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