Results/Party performance Results
ECI results
Analysis · votes into seats

What a vote was worth

Goa, 2022. 300 candidates from 13 parties contested 40 seats; 7 parties won at least one.

Parties contesting
13
2022 · 7 of them won a seat
Largest party
20seats
Bharatiya Janta Party · 33.86% of votes
Deposits lost
68.0%
204 of 300 candidates
Effective parties
4.9
By vote share · lower means more dominant
Candidates per seat
7.5
300 for 40 declared seats

[02]Vote share against seat share

2022 · bar is vote share, marker is seat share

First-past-the-post rarely pays out in proportion. The bar is the share of votes a party won; the marker is the share of seats it took. A marker to the right of its bar means the system paid the party more seats than its votes alone would buy.

Bharatiya Janta Party 33.86%20 seats · +16.14 pts
Indian National Congr… 23.84%11 seats · +3.66 pts
Independent 9.0%3 seats · -1.5 pts
Maharashtrawadi Goman… 7.73%2 seats · -2.73 pts
Aam Aadmi Party 6.88%2 seats · -1.88 pts
Revolutionary Goans P… 9.97%1 seat · -7.47 pts
Goa Forward Party 1.87%1 seat · +0.63 pts
All India Trinamool C… 5.29%0 seats · -5.29 pts
Nationalist Congress… 1.16%0 seats · -1.16 pts

[03]Strike rate — candidates who won

2022 · parties fielding 5 or more
Bharatiya Janta Party 50.0%20/40
Indian National Congr… 29.73%11/37
Maharashtrawadi Goman… 15.39%2/13
Aam Aadmi Party 5.13%2/39
Independent 4.48%3/67
Revolutionary Goans P… 2.63%1/38
All India Trinamool C… 0.0%0/26
Nationalist Congress… 0.0%0/13
Shiv Sena 0.0%0/11
Jai Maha Bharath Party 0.0%0/6

[04]Deposits lost

Candidates under a sixth of the valid vote · newest first
2022 68.0%204 of 300
2017 65.34%164 of 251
2012 59.07%127 of 215
2007 53.96%109 of 202
2002 55.19%117 of 212
1999 54.29%114 of 210
1994 69.78%217 of 311
1989 63.49%160 of 252
1984 70.25%170 of 242
1977 47.59%69 of 145

[05]How crowded the ballot got

Candidates per seat · newest first
2022 7.5300 candidates
2017 6.3251 candidates
2012 5.4215 candidates
2007 5.1202 candidates
2002 5.3212 candidates
1999 5.3210 candidates
1994 7.8311 candidates
1989 6.3252 candidates
1984 8.1242 candidates
1977 4.8145 candidates

[06]Independents

Candidates standing without a party · newest first
2022 673 won
2017 583 won
2012 725 won
2007 492 won
2002 481 won
1999 471 won
1994 1543 won
1989 1322 won
1984 1584 won
1977 572 won

[07]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the table above, not commentary
  1. Bharatiya Janta Party took 50.0% of the seats on 33.86% of the votes — a seat bonus of +16.14 pts.

    seat share 50.0 - vote share 33.86
  2. Revolutionary Goans Party went the other way: 9.97% of votes returned only 2.5% of seats.

    seat share 2.5 - vote share 9.97
  3. 68.0% of candidates lost their deposit in 2022 — 204 of 300 polled under a sixth of the valid vote.

    204/300 below the one-sixth threshold
  4. 67 independents stood and 3 won — a strike rate of 4.48%.

    3/67 independents
  5. The field has grown more fragmented since 1967: the effective number of parties moved from 2.9 to 4.9.

    Laakso-Taagepera 1/sum(share^2), 1967 vs 2022
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