Results/Incumbency
Results
ECI results
Analysis · representation
Do incumbents survive?
ARUNACHAL PRADESH, 1977–2019. 12 elections tracked.
Incumbent re-election
100.0
2019 · 1 of 1
Incumbents contesting
50.0
1 of 2 seats
First-time winners
0.0
0 new faces
Turncoats
1
0 won · strike rate 0.0%
Vs previous
+50.0pp
From 50.0% in 2014
[01]Incumbent re-election rate
- 2019
100.0%
- 2014
50.0%
- 2009
0.0%
- 2004
0.0%
- 1999
50.0%
- 1998
50.0%
- 1996
0.0%
- 1991
100.0%
- 1989
100.0%
- 1984
100.0%
- 1980
0.0%
- 1977
0.0%
[02]First-time winners
- 2019
0.0%
- 2014
0.0%
- 2009
100.0%
- 2004
50.0%
- 1999
0.0%
- 1998
50.0%
- 1996
50.0%
- 1991
0.0%
- 1989
50.0%
- 1984
50.0%
- 1980
100.0%
- 1977
100.0%
[03]Turncoats over time
2019
1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)
2004
1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)
1999
2 turncoats1 won (50.0%)
1980
1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)
[04]Incumbents contesting
2019
1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
2014
2 contesting1 won · 50.0% strike rate
2009
2 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
2004
1 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
1999
2 contesting1 won · 50.0% strike rate
1998
2 contesting1 won · 50.0% strike rate
1996
2 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
1991
2 contesting2 won · 100.0% strike rate
1989
1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
1984
1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
1980
2 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
[05]Computed insights
-
The 2019 incumbent re-election rate of 100.0% is above the historical average of 45.8%.
100.0% vs avg 45.8% -
The strongest anti-incumbency wave was in 2009 — only 0.0% of incumbents survived (0 of 2).
Lowest: 2009 at 0.0% -
Incumbents fared best in 2019 with a 100.0% re-election rate (1 of 1).
Highest: 2019 at 100.0% -
0 winners in 2019 (0.0%) entered parliament/assembly for the first time.
0 first-time winners in 2019 -
Party-switching peaked in 1999 with 2 turncoats, of whom 1 won (50.0% strike rate).
Peak: 2 turncoats in 1999