Results/Incumbency Results
ECI results
Analysis · representation

Do incumbents survive?

NAGALAND, 1967–2019. 14 elections tracked.

Incumbent re-election
100.0
2019 · 1 of 1
Incumbents contesting
100.0
1 of 1 seats
First-time winners
0.0
0 new faces
Turncoats
0
0 won · strike rate 0.0%
Vs previous
+100.0pp
From 0.0% in 2014

[01]Incumbent re-election rate

Share of sitting MPs/MLAs who won again, 1967–2019
  1. 2019
    100.0%
  2. 2014
    0.0%
  3. 2009
    0.0%
  4. 2004
    0.0%
  5. 1999
    100.0%
  6. 1998
    0.0%
  7. 1996
    100.0%
  8. 1991
    0.0%
  9. 1989
    0.0%
  10. 1984
    100.0%
  11. 1980
    0.0%
  12. 1977
    0.0%
  13. 1971
    0.0%
  14. 1967
    0.0%

[02]First-time winners

Share of winners entering parliament/assembly for the first time
  1. 2019
    0.0%
  2. 2014
    100.0%
  3. 2009
    100.0%
  4. 2004
    100.0%
  5. 1999
    0.0%
  6. 1998
    100.0%
  7. 1996
    0.0%
  8. 1991
    100.0%
  9. 1989
    100.0%
  10. 1984
    0.0%
  11. 1980
    100.0%
  12. 1977
    100.0%
  13. 1971
    100.0%
  14. 1967
    100.0%

[03]Turncoats over time

Candidates who switched parties between elections
2014 1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)
2004 1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)
1996 1 turncoats1 won (100.0%)
1971 1 turncoats0 won (0.0%)

[04]Incumbents contesting

How many sitting members sought re-election
2019 1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
2004 1 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
1999 1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
1996 1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
1984 1 contesting1 won · 100.0% strike rate
1980 1 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate
1971 1 contesting0 won · 0.0% strike rate

[05]Computed insights

Arithmetic over the tables above, not commentary
  1. The 2019 incumbent re-election rate of 100.0% is above the historical average of 28.6%.

    100.0% vs avg 28.6%
  2. The strongest anti-incumbency wave was in 2014 — only 0.0% of incumbents survived (0 of 0).

    Lowest: 2014 at 0.0%
  3. Incumbents fared best in 2019 with a 100.0% re-election rate (1 of 1).

    Highest: 2019 at 100.0%
  4. 0 winners in 2019 (0.0%) entered parliament/assembly for the first time.

    0 first-time winners in 2019
  5. Party-switching peaked in 2014 with 1 turncoats, of whom 0 won (0.0% strike rate).

    Peak: 1 turncoats in 2014
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